Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium of Light
Sunderland2 - 0Luton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Watford
Saturday, February 8 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, February 8 at 12.30pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
47
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Luton
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
30
We said: Sunderland 2-1 Luton Town
Sunderland are one of two teams yet to lose a Championship home game this season, and we think that they will maintain that record by claiming a narrow win over Luton side that have lost 11 of their last 12 away league matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 58.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Luton Town |
58.53% ( 0.35) | 23.13% ( -0.22) | 18.34% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.55% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.46% ( 0.68) | 50.54% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.54% ( 0.6) | 72.46% ( -0.6) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.03% ( 0.37) | 16.97% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.92% ( 0.65) | 47.08% ( -0.64) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.47% ( 0.25) | 41.53% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.98% ( 0.22) | 78.03% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Sunderland 58.52%
Luton Town 18.34%
Draw 23.13%
| Sunderland | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.84% Total : 58.52% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 18.34% |
How you voted: Sunderland vs Luton
Sunderland
83.3%Draw
8.3%Luton Town
8.3%84
