Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2024 at 2pm UK
Bingu National Stadium
Burundi0 - 1Senegal
Elie Eldhino (37'), Michel Musore (47'), Claude Girumugisha (69'), Nsabiyumva (69'), Ntibazonkiza (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Malawi 2-3 Burundi
Thursday, September 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, September 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Burundi 0-2 Senegal
Senegal were far from their best against Burkina Faso and were made to pay for their complacency. However, we are backing Cisse's men to resume normal service in this one and get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 71.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 11.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-3 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Burundi win it was 2-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
Result | ||
Burundi | Draw | Senegal |
11.68% ( -0.1) | 16.56% ( -0.06) | 71.77% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 54.13% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.26% ( 0.01) | 34.74% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.3% ( 0.01) | 56.69% ( -0.01) |
Burundi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.16% ( -0.15) | 40.84% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.59% ( -0.14) | 77.41% ( 0.13) |
Senegal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.5% ( 0.04) | 8.5% ( -0.04) |