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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Portsmouth

Cardiff
2 - 0
Portsmouth

Poole (6' og.), Robinson (13')
Chambers (17'), Rinomhota (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Williams (23'), Botts (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff 5-0 Plymouth
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: QPR 1-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Portsmouth

 Both teams will be in high spirits after claiming maximum points at the weekend, but with Cardiff winning their last two home matches, we think that the hosts will make full use of home advantage again to claim a narrow victory on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawPortsmouth
44.94% (-0.495 -0.49) 25.25% (-0.106 -0.11) 29.81% (0.601 0.6)
Both teams to score 54.73% (0.693 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (0.744 0.74)48.64% (-0.745 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (0.673 0.67)70.76% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (0.088000000000008 0.09)21.64% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.23% (0.133 0.13)54.77% (-0.134 -0.13)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (0.80799999999999 0.81)30.15% (-0.809 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (0.95800000000001 0.96)66.3% (-0.959 -0.96)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 44.94%
    Portsmouth 29.81%
    Draw 25.25%
Cardiff CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.274 -0.27)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.195 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.106 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.11 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 29.81%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Portsmouth

Cardiff City
65.8%
Draw
15.2%
Portsmouth
19.0%
79
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Cardiff
0-3
Portsmouth

Nelson (7')
Daley-Campbell (89')
Pigott (58'), Curtis (68' pen.), Bishop (72')
Mingi (58')
> Preview
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Cardiff
2-1
Portsmouth
Mendez-Laing (48'), Halford (113')
Murphy (45')
Morrison (32' og.)
Jan 21, 2012 3pm
Cardiff
3-2
Portsmouth
Hudson (69'), Conway (90'), Miller (15')
Halford (49')
Aug 27, 2011 3pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Cardiff
Kanu (80')
Lawrence (75')
Taylor (71')
Apr 16, 2011 3pm
Cardiff
3-0
Portsmouth
Olofinjana (6'), Whittingham (73'), Bothroyd (45')
Samuel (61')

Lawrence (13'), Nugent (60'), Kitson (88')
Rocha (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920
> Championship Full Table


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