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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Fratton Park
Oxford United

Portsmouth
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

O'Mahony (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sibley (72')
Kioso (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 6-1 Portsmouth
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-2 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Oxford United

Portsmouth will be desperate to claim their first win of the season before the international break, but we think that the hosts will have to settle for a draw against an Oxford side who have seen their last two matches finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawOxford United
40.72% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 24.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 34.45% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 58.02% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82% (-0.061 -0.06)45.17% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.48% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)67.52% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (0.02000000000001 0.02)22.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)55.53% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)25.47% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69% (-0.125 -0.13)60.31% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 40.72%
    Oxford United 34.45%
    Draw 24.83%
PortsmouthDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.45%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Oxford Utd

Portsmouth
Draw
Oxford United
Portsmouth
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Oxford United
37.5%
32
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Portsmouth
2-1
Oxford Utd
Lang (2'), Saydee (67')
Lang (28'), Ogilvie (65'), Kamara (81'), Bishop (86')
Brannagan (6' pen.)
Harris (30'), Rodrigues (42'), Henry (90+5')
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
2-2
Portsmouth
Goodrham (45'), Henry (90')
Buckingham (59')
Bishop (69'), Lang (80')
Bishop (58'), Peart-Harris (81')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Oxford Utd
1-1
Portsmouth
Long (37')
Pack (26')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Portsmouth
3-2
Oxford Utd
Raggett (42'), Hirst (45+2'), Carter (58')
Carter (74')
Browne (3'), McNally (81')
Long (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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