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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
3 - 0
Aberystwyth

Rees (47'), Vincent (80'), Clubb (81')
Jones (38'), Kabongo (57'), Craven (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Patterson (24'), Davies (36')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 3-3 Bala Town
Saturday, November 9 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 3-1 Newtown
Friday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawAberystwyth Town
50.19% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 23.04% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 26.77% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)40.69% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.92% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)63.08% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)16.38% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.98% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)46.02% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (0.025000000000006 0.03)28.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (0.027999999999999 0.03)63.94% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 50.19%
    Aberystwyth Town 26.77%
    Draw 23.04%
Cardiff MUDrawAberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 50.19%
1-1 @ 10.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.04%
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.7% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 26.77%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 9
Aberystwyth
1-2
Cardiff MU
Torry (50')
Arnison (32')
Roscrow (22'), Edwards (54')
Craven (81'), Kabongo (84')
Dec 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Cardiff MU
4-2
Aberystwyth
Evans (40', 56'), Craven (79'), H (83')
Evans (86')
Cadwallader (62'), Darlington (74')
Aug 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Aberystwyth
0-1
Cardiff MU

Owen (56')
Evans (34')
Evans (70'), Evans (73'), Rees (83')
Evans (75')
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Cardiff MU
2-1
Aberystwyth
Rees (9', 28')
Darlington (81')
Aug 20, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
0-4
Cardiff MU
Jones (8', 29', 34'), Evans (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
14-28
Ravens
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Broncos
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Bills
9.30pm
Packers
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Eagles
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints21160559263348
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont21145240152547
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest21116428101839
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU219573227532
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon219483235-331
6Bala TownBala Town2161142621529
7Barry Town UnitedBarry218583137-629
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay217593224826
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2162132744-1720
11Newtown AFCNewtown2154122344-2119
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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