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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
1 - 2
Caernarfon

Rees (3')
Craven (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lloyd (38', 56')
Clarke (82')
Downey (90+4'), Downey (90+5')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-0 Cardiff MU
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 28 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
48.56% (0.267 0.27) 22.33% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 29.11% (-0.212 -0.21)
Both teams to score 64.53% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.43% (0.143 0.14)35.57% (-0.145 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.38% (0.16 0.16)57.62% (-0.161 -0.16)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.93% (0.146 0.15)15.07% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.42% (0.277 0.28)43.59% (-0.27699999999999 -0.28)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)24.02% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)58.29% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 48.56%
    Caernarfon Town 29.11%
    Draw 22.33%
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.85% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.48% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.16% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.018 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 48.56%
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.16% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.11%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
1-2
Cardiff MU
Lloyd (19' pen.)
Owen (22'), Lloyd (87')
Clubb (6'), Reynolds (42')
Edwards (67')
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Williams (86'), Davies (90')
Lloyd (63'), Williams (87')

Craven (48'), McCarthy (55')
Mar 23, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Caernarfon
1-2
Cardiff MU
Clarke (84')
Donohue (90+6')
Craven (5'), Jones (13')
Soady (45+4')
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Cardiff MU
2-2
Caernarfon
Price (24'), Evans (57')
Lewis (17'), Clubb (90+2'), McCarthy (90+6')
Jones (70')
Bradley (18'), Dafydd (84')
Davies (10'), John Williams (74')
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Cardiff MU
2-2
Caernarfon
Lewis (70'), Evans (73')
Davies (9'), Gosset (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont118211951426
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest11632134921
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU116231711620
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon105231712517
5Bala TownBala Town114431612416
6The New SaintsNew Saints75022071315
7Newtown AFCNewtown114341523-815
8Barry Town UnitedBarry113441218-613
9Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay103251412211
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town113171318-510
11Briton Ferry9126821-135
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth11119526-214


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