Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Cardiff MU1 - 2Caernarfon
Rees (3')
Craven (90+4')
Craven (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lloyd (38', 56')
Clarke (82')
Downey (90+5'), Downey (90+5')
Clarke (82')
Downey (90+5'), Downey (90+5')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-0 Cardiff MU
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 28 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, September 28 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff MU | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
48.56% ( 0.27) | 22.33% ( -0.06) | 29.11% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 64.53% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.43% ( 0.14) | 35.57% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.38% ( 0.16) | 57.62% ( -0.16) |
Cardiff MU Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.93% ( 0.15) | 15.07% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.42% ( 0.28) | 43.59% ( -0.28) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.98% ( -0.06) | 24.02% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.72% ( -0.08) | 58.29% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff MU 48.56%
Caernarfon Town 29.11%
Draw 22.33%
Cardiff MU | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 48.56% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.11% |
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
1-2
Cardiff MU
Lloyd (19' pen.)
Owen (22'), Lloyd (87')
Owen (22'), Lloyd (87')
Clubb (6'), Reynolds (42')
Edwards (67')
Edwards (67')
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Craven (48'), McCarthy (55')
Mar 23, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Caernarfon
1-2
Cardiff MU
Clarke (84')
Donohue (90+6')
Donohue (90+6')
Craven (5'), Jones (13')
Soady (45+4')
Soady (45+4')
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-07 23:02:23
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 34 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 13 | 26 | 30 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 29 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
5 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 21 |
7 | Bala TownBala Town | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 19 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 11 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 38 | -27 | 7 |
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