MX23RW : Friday, October 4 21:06:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
vs.
Aberystwyth

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 28 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Next Game: Cardiff MU vs. Caernarfon
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 1-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Next Game: Connah's Quay vs. Aberystwyth
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 65.34%. A draw has a probability of 19.1% and a win for Aberystwyth Town has a probability of 15.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.87%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it is 1-2 (4.37%).

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
65.34% (0.19 0.19) 19.13% (-0.173 -0.17) 15.53% (-0.022 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.86% (0.58199999999999 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.11% (0.776 0.78)37.89% (-0.78 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.85% (0.825 0.83)60.14% (-0.828 -0.83)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.13% (0.27 0.27)10.87% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.01% (0.59699999999999 0.6)34.98% (-0.602 -0.6)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (0.461 0.46)37.33% (-0.466 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (0.452 0.45)74.11% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 65.34%
    Aberystwyth Town 15.53%
    Draw 19.13%
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 9.99% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9% (-0.236 -0.24)
3-0 @ 7.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.28% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.1% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.04% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.078 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.064 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.82% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.79% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 65.34%
1-1 @ 8.87% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.13%
1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 4% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 15.53%

Head to Head
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Caernarfon
3-0
Aberystwyth
Clarke (59' pen.), Davies (66'), Lloyd (85')
Cartwright (4'), Donohue (63'), Gosset (78')

Thorn (28'), H (82')
Sep 9, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Aberystwyth
2-4
Caernarfon
Owen (4'), Lewis (26')
Bradford (40'), Jones (66')
Clarke (6', 19'), Davies (71', 90+2')
Lloyd (34')
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
3-2
Caernarfon
Arnison (39'), Cadwallader (55'), Flint (90+4')
Hughes (2'), Bell (45+1')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
0-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (41')
Jan 21, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Aberystwyth
2-1
Caernarfon
Arnison (8'), Flint (77')
Alun (89')
rhs 2.0
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