Carrarese

2 - 0

Cesena

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 43.41%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Cesena had a probability of 27.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Cesena win it was 0-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrarese would win this match.