Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.