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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
Mar 19, 2023 at 6am UK
AAMI Park
Central Coast Mariners

Victory
2 - 0
Central Coast

Fornaroli (16'), Romero (56')
Cadete (90')
Romero (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Windust (15'), Tulio (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Victory 1-2 Western Utd
Monday, March 13 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 4-1 Macarthur
Saturday, March 11 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Melbourne Victory 1-3 Central Coast Mariners

Melbourne Victory have got a lot to play for, which should lead to them creating a tough test for their opponents. However, Central Coast Mariners should have too much quality here and will take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawCentral Coast Mariners
44.28% (0.283 0.28) 24.26% (0.188 0.19) 31.45% (-0.468 -0.47)
Both teams to score 58.95% (-0.872 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.5% (-1.053 -1.05)43.5% (1.054 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.1% (-1.044 -1.04)65.89% (1.044 1.04)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19% (-0.306 -0.31)19.81% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.12% (-0.501 -0.5)51.88% (0.502 0.5)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (-0.80399999999999 -0.8)26.48% (0.805 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.33% (-1.081 -1.08)61.67% (1.081 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 44.28%
    Central Coast Mariners 31.45%
    Draw 24.26%
Melbourne VictoryDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.308 0.31)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 44.28%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.239 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.97% (0.162 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 31.45%

How you voted: Victory vs Central Coast

Melbourne Victory
23.5%
Draw
11.8%
Central Coast Mariners
64.7%
17
Head to Head
Dec 31, 2022 8am
Mar 9, 2022 6.05am
Feb 19, 2022 8.45am
May 2, 2021 7.05am
Mar 27, 2021 8.10am
Central Coast
1-1
Victory
Urena (30')
Stensness (29'), Clisby (48')
McManaman (20')
McManaman (49'), Shotton (64'), Ansell (79')
rhs 2.0
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