Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.