Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.49%) and 3-1 (6.42%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
52.63% (![]() | 21.13% (![]() | 26.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.5% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.04% (![]() | 31.95% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.49% (![]() | 53.51% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.51% (![]() | 12.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.53% (![]() | 38.47% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.99% (![]() | 24.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.74% (![]() | 58.26% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 9.26% (![]() 2-0 @ 6.49% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.42% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.6% Total : 52.63% | 1-1 @ 8.9% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.14% | 1-2 @ 6.35% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.75% Total : 26.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 36 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 31 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 28 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 27 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 25 |
7 | Macarthur | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 25 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 25 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 21 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 18 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 41 | -29 | 10 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 6 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |