Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 22, 2024 at 11pm UK
Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
Cerro0 - 5Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Progreso 0-1 Cerro
Saturday, September 14 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, September 14 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
29
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result | ||
Cerro | Draw | Penarol |
22.93% ( -0.38) | 27.52% ( -0.01) | 49.55% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 42.84% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.61% ( -0.23) | 61.39% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.72% ( -0.17) | 81.28% ( 0.17) |
Cerro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.12% ( -0.51) | 42.88% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.81% ( -0.43) | 79.19% ( 0.43) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75% ( 0.08) | 25% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.34% ( 0.11) | 59.66% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Cerro 22.93%
Penarol 49.55%
Draw 27.51%
Cerro | Draw | Penarol |
1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.05% Total : 22.93% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.52% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 14.86% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 10.3% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 49.55% |
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
1-1
Penarol
Feb 4, 2023 8pm
Jan 16, 2021 8pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-24 15:00:49
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