MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 01:27:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Fenix

Penarol
2 - 0
Fenix

Mendez (23'), Batista (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alfaro (44'), Sebastian da Silva Mattos (65')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Fenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 1-3 Penarol
Sunday, July 14 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 1-2 Defensor
Sunday, July 14 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 25.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawFenix
46.01% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 28.35% (0.118 0.12) 25.64% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 43.09% (-0.346 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.69% (-0.412 -0.41)62.31% (0.412 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.03% (-0.303 -0.3)81.96% (0.30199999999999 0.3)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (-0.218 -0.22)27.17% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (-0.282 -0.28)62.57% (0.283 0.28)
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.16% (-0.296 -0.3)40.84% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (-0.267 -0.27)77.41% (0.267 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 46%
    Fenix 25.64%
    Draw 28.34%
PenarolDrawFenix
1-0 @ 14.45% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 46%
1-1 @ 12.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.09% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 9.94% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 25.64%

Head to Head
Jun 2, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 15
Fenix
0-1
Penarol

Castillo (86'), Olivera (90+2')
Garcia (52')
Rodriguez (86')
Nov 28, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Fenix
0-1
Penarol

Carlos (75'), Alles (90+4')
Arezo (52')
Betancor (23'), Mendez (23'), Coelho (48'), Arezo (60')
Apr 29, 2023 12am
Gameweek 13
Penarol
2-0
Fenix
Sanchez (39'), Rodriguez (51' pen.)
Aug 2, 2022 12am
Gameweek 1
Penarol
0-1
Fenix
Vega (90+4' pen.)
Jul 10, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 4
Penarol
0-0
Fenix
Musto (55'), Ramos (60'), Viatri (72'), Aguirregaray (86'), Ceppelini (90+2')
Alfaro (5'), Barboza (21'), Amado (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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