Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 21, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
The Strongest1 - 0Penarol
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: The Strongest 1-0 Penarol (Penarol advances 4-1 on aggregate)
No one expects much from the Bolivians after what happened in the opening leg, and with little pressure on their shoulders, we expect them to be a lot more compact defensively and perhaps exit the competition on a positive note. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 21.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for The Strongest in this match.
| Result | ||
| The Strongest | Draw | Penarol |
54.66% ( 0.12) | 23.87% ( -0.05) | 21.46% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.17% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
