Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 19, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Flamengovs.Penarol
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Vasco
Sunday, September 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
We say: Flamengo 1-0 Penarol
Flamengo have not been at their best in this tournament so far, but they always seem to come through at home, so we project a narrow triumph in the opening leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 71.24%. A draw has a probability of 18.2% and a win for Penarol has a probability of 10.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.45%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Penarol win it is 0-1 (3.99%).
Result | ||
Flamengo | Draw | Penarol |
71.24% ( -1.75) | 18.19% ( 0.96) | 10.57% ( 0.79) |
Both teams to score 44.2% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.33% ( -1.97) | 45.66% ( 1.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.01% ( -1.9) | 67.99% ( 1.9) |
Flamengo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.49% ( -1) | 11.51% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.61% ( -2.2) | 36.39% ( 2.2) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.95% ( 0.3) | 50.05% ( -0.3) |