National League South | Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City3 - 1Bath City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Bath City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Maidstone 2-0 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
61
Last Game: Bath City 2-0 Hemel Hemps.
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Bath City win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Bath City |
49.9% ( -0.24) | 25.4% ( 0.1) | 24.7% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.35% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
