National League South | Gameweek 22
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium
Bath City2 - 3Chelmsford City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Chelmsford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farnborough 2-2 Bath City
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-2 Truro City
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
26
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bath City | Draw | Chelmsford City |
29.08% ( -3.21) | 26.08% ( 0.64) | 44.84% ( 2.57) |
Both teams to score 51.69% ( -3.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.59% ( -3.97) | 52.41% ( 3.96) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.91% ( -3.51) | 74.09% ( 3.51) |
Bath City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.38% ( -4.24) | 32.62% ( 4.24) |