National League South | Gameweek 12
Mar 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City0 - 1Worthing
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wadham (87')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Worthing.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-0 Aveley
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
57
Last Game: Worthing 0-1 Braintree
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
77
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Worthing win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Worthing |
41.15% ( 1.78) | 26.43% ( -0.03) | 32.42% ( -1.75) |
Both teams to score 52.1% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.42% ( -0.25) | 52.58% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.76% ( -0.21) | 74.23% ( 0.21) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.79% ( 0.83) | 25.2% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.06% ( 1.13) | 59.94% ( -1.13) |
Worthing Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.66% ( -1.25) | 30.34% ( 1.26) |