National League South | Gameweek 37
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City2 - 0Aveley
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Aveley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farnborough 1-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
55
Last Game: Dartford 1-2 Aveley
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
53
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Aveley had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for an Aveley win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Aveley |
51.44% ( -0.09) | 25.75% ( 0.01) | 22.8% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 47.33% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.54% ( 0.05) | 55.46% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.35% ( 0.04) | 76.65% ( -0.04) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.39% ( -0.02) | 21.61% ( 0.02) |