Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.