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Championship header 2

League Two
Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Technique Stadium
Swindon Town

Chesterfield
1 - 1
Swindon

Dobra (15')
Cook (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wright (64')
King (17'), Cotterill (42'), Smith (55'), Wright (66'), Clarke (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last Game: Scunthorpe 0-3 Chesterfield
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Chesterfield 1-1 Swindon Town

 Chesterfield will be full of confidence after their strong showing in the National League last season, but they could take some time to settle into their new division. Swindon's poor away record suggests that victory is unlikely, but with a new manager and many new signings, they could prove difficult to beat on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.39%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawSwindon Town
37.18% (-0.65300000000001 -0.65) 23.19% (-0.219 -0.22) 39.63% (0.87 0.87)
Both teams to score 64.56% (0.817 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.15% (1.074 1.07)36.85% (-1.076 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.97% (1.156 1.16)59.02% (-1.158 -1.16)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (0.16200000000001 0.16)20.21% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (0.256 0.26)52.53% (-0.258 -0.26)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (0.85900000000001 0.86)19.08% (-0.861 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31% (1.405 1.41)50.68% (-1.406 -1.41)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 37.18%
    Swindon Town 39.63%
    Draw 23.19%
ChesterfieldDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-0 @ 6.17% (-0.298 -0.3)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 37.18%
1-1 @ 10.21% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.86% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.99% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.39% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.67% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 3.74% (0.143 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.92% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.114 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.099 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 39.63%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Swindon

Chesterfield
62.8%
Draw
4.7%
Swindon Town
32.6%
43
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Chesterfield
2-1
Swindon
O'Grady (2'), Kellett (51')
Reed (82'), Barry (90')
Robertson (75')
Norris (78')
Banks (72')
Nov 11, 2017 3pm
Swindon
2-2
Chesterfield
Elsnik (47'), Norris (90' pen.)
Woolery (36'), Dunne (45')
Dennis (56'), McCourt (72')
Reed (63'), Maguire (89'), Dennis (90'), Evatt (95')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Swindon
0-1
Chesterfield
Mitchell (93')
Hird (74'), Jones (84'), Evans (92')
Aug 13, 2016 3pm
Chesterfield
3-1
Swindon
Liddle (22'), O'Shea (45' pen.), Evans (64')
Furlong (88')
Kasim (45'), Ormonde-Ottewill (60'), Sendles-White (84')
Apr 23, 2016 3pm
Swindon
1-0
Chesterfield
Kasim (77')

Herd (34')
Raglan (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Browns
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Broncos
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213
> League Two Full Table


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