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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Salford City |
34.05% ( 0.03) | 24.01% ( 0.01) | 41.94% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 60.88% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.6% ( -0.04) | 41.4% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.2% ( -0.04) | 63.8% ( 0.04) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% | 23.93% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.86% ( 0) | 58.14% |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.03% ( -0.03) | 19.97% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.86% ( -0.06) | 52.14% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Salford City |
2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.05% | 1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 41.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
15 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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