CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 16, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica
Costa Rica3 - 0Guatemala
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Suriname 1-1 Costa Rica
Friday, October 11 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, October 11 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Colombia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Brazil | 3 | 3 | 5 |
3 | Costa Rica | 3 | -2 | 4 |
4 | Paraguay | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last Game: Guyana 1-3 Guatemala
Saturday, October 12 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Saturday, October 12 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Costa Rica 1-1 Guatemala
Costa Rica and Guatemala had to settle for a share of the spoils when they faced off in Cuidad de Guatemala last month, and with the two teams closely-matched, we think that they could play out another draw in Tuesday's return fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.
Result | ||
Costa Rica | Draw | Guatemala |
42.86% ( -3.7) | 24.9% ( 0.66) | 32.24% ( 3.05) |
Both teams to score 57.1% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.92% ( -1.54) | 46.08% ( 1.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.62% ( -1.47) | 68.38% ( 1.48) |
Costa Rica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.48% ( -2.25) | 21.52% ( 2.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.42% ( -3.59) | 54.58% ( 3.59) |
Guatemala Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.75% ( 1.25) | 27.25% ( -1.25) |