MX23RW : Thursday, January 2 13:06:53| >> :60:45:45:
Costa Rica national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 16, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica
Guatemala national football team

Costa Rica
3 - 0
Guatemala

Madrigal (9'), Vargas (38'), Calvo (71')
Bran (41'), Mitchell (64'), Quiros (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ardon (32'), Castellanos (62'), Mendez-Laing (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Costa Rica and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Suriname 1-1 Costa Rica
Friday, October 11 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Guatemala

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guyana 1-3 Guatemala
Saturday, October 12 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Costa Rica 1-1 Guatemala

 Costa Rica and Guatemala had to settle for a share of the spoils when they faced off in Cuidad de Guatemala last month, and with the two teams closely-matched, we think that they could play out another draw in Tuesday's return fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.

Result
Costa RicaDrawGuatemala
42.86% (-3.702 -3.7) 24.9% (0.655 0.66) 32.24% (3.052 3.05)
Both teams to score 57.1% (-0.631 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.92% (-1.536 -1.54)46.08% (1.542 1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.62% (-1.471 -1.47)68.38% (1.476 1.48)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (-2.251 -2.25)21.52% (2.257 2.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (-3.585 -3.59)54.58% (3.59 3.59)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (1.252 1.25)27.25% (-1.246 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (1.599 1.6)62.68% (-1.593 -1.59)
Score Analysis
    Costa Rica 42.86%
    Guatemala 32.24%
    Draw 24.9%
Costa RicaDrawGuatemala
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.526 -0.53)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.525 -0.53)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.544 -0.54)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.226 -0.23)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.344 -0.34)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.322 -0.32)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.86%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 5.86% (0.375 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.733 0.73)
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.49 0.49)
0-2 @ 4.96% (0.631 0.63)
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.319 0.32)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.338 0.34)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.24%

How you voted: Costa Rica vs Guatemala

Costa Rica
68.8%
Draw
18.8%
Guatemala
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 3am
League A
Guatemala
0-0
Costa Rica
Leonel Dominguez-Ramirez (62')
> Preview
Jun 16, 2023 4am
Friendlies 1
Costa Rica
0-1
Guatemala

Nunez (4')
Mejia (6')
Samayoa (53'), Ardon (59')
> Preview
Mar 23, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
Guatemala
1-0
Costa Rica
Cincotta (31')
Carlos Pinto (34'), Saravia (50')

Waston (42'), Cruz (51')
rhs 2.0
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