Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Dundee United in this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Dundee United |
35.85% ( 0.53) | 24.31% ( 0.15) | 39.84% ( -0.68) |
Both teams to score 60.15% ( -0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.48% ( -0.65) | 42.52% ( 0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.08% ( -0.65) | 64.92% ( 0.65) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% ( -0.01) | 23.45% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.54% ( -0.02) | 57.46% ( 0.02) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.58% ( -0.6) | 21.42% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.57% ( -0.94) | 54.43% ( 0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Dundee United |
2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 35.85% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 7 | 45 | 50 |
2 | RangersRangers | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 39 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Aberdeen | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 34 |
5 | St Mirren | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 27 |
6 | Motherwell | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
7 | Hibernian | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 25 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 24 |
9 | Dundee | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Ross County | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 22 |
11 | Hearts | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 20 |
12 | St Johnstone | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |