Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Hibernian |
26.05% ( -0.04) | 24.82% ( -0.01) | 49.12% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.36% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.83% ( -0.01) | 49.16% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.77% ( -0.01) | 71.22% ( 0.01) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.74% ( -0.04) | 33.25% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.13% ( -0.05) | 69.87% ( 0.04) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.95% ( 0.01) | 20.04% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.74% ( 0.02) | 52.25% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 26.05% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 49.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 7 | 45 | 50 |
2 | RangersRangers | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 39 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Aberdeen | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 34 |
5 | St Mirren | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 27 |
6 | Motherwell | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
7 | Hibernian | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 25 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 24 |
9 | Dundee | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Ross County | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 22 |
11 | Hearts | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 20 |
12 | St Johnstone | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |