Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 0-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 2-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.