Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 63.94%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 1-3 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 2-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.