Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.2%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.