National League North | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium
Curzon Ashton1 - 2Hereford
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Hereford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 King's Lynn
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Buxton 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Curzon Ashton | Draw | Hereford United |
45.22% ( 0.32) | 26.26% ( 0.35) | 28.52% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 50.8% ( -1.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.6% ( -1.73) | 53.4% ( 1.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.06% ( -1.48) | 74.94% ( 1.49) |
Curzon Ashton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.46% ( -0.59) | 23.54% ( 0.59) |