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National League North | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
0 - 2
Curzon Ashton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Campbell (4'), Walker (80' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Alfreton
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 4-3 Gloucester City
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 56.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawCurzon Ashton
56.91% (0.052 0.05) 23.66% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 19.43% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.81% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)51.14% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (-0.038 -0.04)72.99% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (0.0039999999999907 0)17.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.52% (0.0049999999999955 0)48.48% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.36% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)40.64% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.76% (-0.07 -0.07)77.23% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 56.89%
    Curzon Ashton 19.43%
    Draw 23.66%
Hereford UnitedDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 12.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.77% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.21% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 56.89%
1-1 @ 11.23%
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 19.43%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Curzon Ashton
1-3
Hereford
Peers (77')
Barnett (6', 65'), McLean (74')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Hereford
2-2
Curzon Ashton
Gordon (9'), Owen-Evans (28')
Curran (2'), Hobson (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton21133530151542
2King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn2312562820841
3Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster21124533161740
4Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe22108435152038
5Chorley2211563226638
6Hereford UnitedHereford22107531191237
7Alfreton TownAlfreton2110742720737
8Buxton2211293425935
9South Shields23112103935435
10Brackley Town2110472418634
11Darlington228952621533
12Chester FCChester219662622433
13Spennymoor TownSpennymoor227963127430
14Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath227872525029
15Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports227782629-328
16SouthportSouthport227692533-827
17Leamington FCLeamington217592723426
18Oxford CityOxford City226793438-425
19Warrington Town235992129-824
20Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic2263132239-1721
21Marine AFC2246121228-1618
22RadcliffeRadcliffe2146112441-1718
23Needham Market2245131435-2117
24Rushall Olympic2233161946-2712


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