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Championship header 2

Championship
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Norwich logo

Derby
2 - 3
Norwich

Forsyth (60'), Taylor (90+1')
Forsyth (21'), Chirewa (77'), Goudmijn (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sainz (45+3', 65', 87')
Duffy (24'), Cordoba (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Derby
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship

Norwich City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Norwich 4-1 Watford
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 1-0 Norwich City

 Derby's home form is keeping them clear of trouble at the start of this season, and we expect that narrative to continue against Norwich on Saturday afternoon. The Canaries are significantly weaker on the road than compared to at their Carrow Road base, meaning that another disappointing outing is on the cards for the East Anglians. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawNorwich City
47.07% (-0.137 -0.14) 25.93% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 27% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.75% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.04% (-0.202 -0.2)52.96% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.44% (-0.171 -0.17)74.55% (0.167 0.17)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (-0.149 -0.15)22.49% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.95% (-0.221 -0.22)56.04% (0.218 0.22)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)34.52% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.76% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)71.23% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 47.07%
    Norwich City 27%
    Draw 25.92%
Derby CountyDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 11.58% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 47.07%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 27%

How you voted: Derby vs Norwich

Derby County
50.0%
Draw
22.0%
Norwich City
28.0%
50
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Derby
0-1
Norwich

Shinnie (11'), Bird (15'), Forsyth (20'), Roberts (68')
Dowell (21')
> Match Report
Oct 3, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Norwich
0-1
Derby

Buendia (44'), Zimmermann (54'), Rupp (86')
Rooney (87')
Shinnie (79'), Knight (79')
> Match Report
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 25
Norwich
3-4
Derby
Godfrey (25'), Pukki (31', 81')
Zimmermann (5'), Aarons (45'), Vrancic (62')
Tomori (36'), Mount (45'), Jozefzoon (87'), Marriott (90')
Evans (66'), Holmes (90'), Wilson (90')
> Match Report
Oct 3, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Derby
1-1
Norwich
Bryson (86')
Bogle (62')
Klose (69')
Zimmermann (45'), Lewis (54')
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Derby
1-1
Norwich
Vydra (12')
Carson (39'), Weimann (90')
Maddison (72' pen.)
Tettey (30'), Reed (53'), Srbeny (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920
> Championship Full Table


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