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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Derby County |
28.65% ( -0.03) | 23.84% ( -0.01) | 47.52% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 58.75% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.98% ( 0.04) | 43.02% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.58% ( 0.05) | 65.42% ( -0.05) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.9% ( 0) | 28.1% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.23% ( 0.01) | 63.77% ( -0.01) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.72% ( 0.03) | 18.28% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.66% ( 0.05) | 49.34% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Derby County |
2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.65% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.42% 1-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 3.55% Total : 47.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 42 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Portsmouth | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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