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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bramall Lane
Derby logo

Sheff Utd
1 - 0
Derby

Hamer (53')
Souza (38'), Ahmedhodzic (56'), Moore (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Warne (0'), Cashin (50'), Elder (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sheffield United and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Sheff Utd
Friday, September 13 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sheffield United 2-0 Derby County

Derby County certainly have cause for optimism following their start to the campaign and back-to-back wins, but they face a stern test away at a Sheffield United side who have quickly found their groove at both ends of the pitch. With home advantage and momentum building, we see the Blades having too much quality on Saturday and taking another three-point haul. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
Sheffield UnitedDrawDerby County
28.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 23.84% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 47.52% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 58.75% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.98% (0.043999999999997 0.04)43.02% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.58% (0.045000000000002 0.05)65.42% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (0.0040000000000049 0)28.1% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)63.77% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)18.28% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66% (0.053999999999995 0.05)49.34% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield United 28.65%
    Derby County 47.52%
    Draw 23.84%
Sheffield UnitedDrawDerby County
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 6.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.65%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.42%
1-3 @ 5.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 47.52%

How you voted: Sheff Utd vs Derby

Sheffield United
62.1%
Draw
19.7%
Derby County
18.2%
66
Head to Head
Jul 29, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Derby
1-3
Sheff Utd
Smith (59')
Ben Slimane (17'), Baldock (83'), Ndiaye (85')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Derby
2-0
Sheff Utd
Lawrence (69', 78')
Lawrence (78')

Ndiaye (90+3')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Sheff Utd
1-0
Derby
Sharp (90' pen.)
Gibbs-White (24')

Shinnie (24')
Roos (57')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Sheff Utd
2-1
Derby
Freeman (53'), Sharp (76')
Osborn (43'), Fleck (74'), Freeman (83'), Robinson (90+3')
Sibley (44')
Sep 1, 2020 5pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Derby
0-2
Sheff Utd
Osborn (38'), Sharp (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley27141123192253
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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