MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:07:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Championship header 2

Championship
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Derby
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

Jackson (14')
Mendez-Laing (40'), Elder (67'), Jackson (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Latte Lath (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-3 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, August 14 at 8pm in EFL Cup

We said: Derby County 1-3 Middlesbrough

 Derby were defensively naive during their opening match against Blackburn last Friday, and such a display once again will lead to the same result. Middlesbrough have arguably been the standout performer in the EFL so far this season, and Carrick's troops should have enough firepower to record maximum points in the Midlands on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawMiddlesbrough
43.05% (-2.211 -2.21) 25.32% (-0.181 -0.18) 31.63% (2.392 2.39)
Both teams to score 55.42% (1.829 1.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.84% (1.824 1.82)48.16% (-1.824 -1.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69% (1.65 1.65)70.31% (-1.649 -1.65)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68% (-0.253 -0.25)22.32% (0.254 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.21% (-0.383 -0.38)55.79% (0.383 0.38)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (2.577 2.58)28.66% (-2.578 -2.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52% (3.109 3.11)64.48% (-3.108 -3.11)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 43.05%
    Middlesbrough 31.63%
    Draw 25.31%
Derby CountyDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.817 -0.82)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.677 -0.68)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.368 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.124 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.496 -0.5)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.29 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.99% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.44 0.44)
0-2 @ 4.99% (0.329 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.386 0.39)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.274 0.27)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.271 0.27)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.18 0.18)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.63%

How you voted: Derby vs Middlesbrough

Derby County
10.0%
Draw
14.0%
Middlesbrough
76.0%
50
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Middlesbrough
4-1
Derby
Buchanan (15' og.), Connolly (44'), Crooks (45+3'), Watmore (89')
Tavernier (27'), Crooks (31'), Howson (50')
Bird (39')
Lawrence (27'), Ebiowei (87'), (88')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Derby
0-0
Middlesbrough
Jagielka (66'), Byrne (90+1')
Peltier (30'), Tavernier (43'), Bola (54'), Jones (85')
> Match Report
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Derby
2-1
Middlesbrough
Gregory (15'), Kazim-Richards (32')
Jozwiak (35'), Knight (90+4')
Kebano (38')
Dijksteel (62')
> Match Report
Nov 25, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 13
Middlesbrough
3-0
Derby
Assombalonga (33'), Clarke (71' og.), Johnson (83')

Jozwiak (9'), Lawrence (49'), Byrne (53'), Buchanan (65')
> Match Report
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 27
Middlesbrough
2-2
Derby
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!