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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ewood Park
Derby logo

Blackburn
4 - 2
Derby

Dolan (19'), Weimann (72'), Szmodics (76'), Ohashi (84')
Dolan (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nelson (67'), Wilson (88')
Barkhuizen (11'), Collins (82'), Cashin (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 0-1 Blackburn
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Derby County

The opening day of a season is a complete unknown, and that is particularly the case with two well-matched teams squaring off here. Derby will be eager to make an impression, yet we are backing Rovers to make a positive start to their campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawDerby County
29.44% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 25.54% (0.012 0.01) 45.02% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.59% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.97% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)50.03% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.99% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)72.01% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (0.010000000000005 0.01)31.12% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55% (0.010999999999996 0.01)67.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)22.19% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)55.6% (0.052 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 29.44%
    Derby County 45.02%
    Draw 25.53%
Blackburn RoversDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 8.06% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.7% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 29.44%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 45.02%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Derby

Blackburn Rovers
65.2%
Draw
18.4%
Derby County
16.5%
158
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Blackburn
3-1
Derby
Wharton (53'), Dolan (59'), Gallagher (90+7')
Travis (83')
Morrison (28')
Morrison (67')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Derby
1-2
Blackburn
Davies (89')
Shinnie (29'), Lawrence (50')
Brereton Diaz (8', 20')
Lenihan (59'), Buckley (85'), Khadra (88'), Poveda (89'), Travis (90+1')
Apr 16, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 42
Blackburn
2-1
Derby
Gallagher (42'), Elliott (66')
Holtby (32'), Elliott (67')
Lawrence (22')
Clarke (45+1')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
0-4
Blackburn

Buchanan (33'), Rooney (80')
Dolan (11'), Johnson (12', 15'), Armstrong (78')
Johnson (36'), Lenihan (42'), Rothwell (66')
Mar 8, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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