MX23RW : Thursday, January 2 21:52:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

Championship
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
West Brom logo

Derby
2 - 1
West Brom

Yates (28'), Holgate (68' og.)
Adams (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diangana (81')
Fellows (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Derby County and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Derby
Friday, December 20 at 8pm in Championship

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Bristol City
Sunday, December 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 2-1 West Bromwich Albion

 After a heartbreaking defeat at Luton last week, Derby will be raring to produce a good display and three points in front of their Pride Park faithful. Likely under the leadership of an interim manager, the impending departure of Corberan is poised to send shockwaves around the Black Country, with an unsettled West Brom side set to struggle on Boxing Day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Derby County in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result
Derby CountyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
40.27% (0.194 0.19) 26.93% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 32.8% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Both teams to score 50.64% (0.266 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.51% (0.351 0.35)54.49% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15% (0.292 0.29)75.85% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.45% (0.26899999999999 0.27)26.55% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.25% (0.355 0.35)61.75% (-0.354 -0.35)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94% (0.113 0.11)31.06% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (0.13200000000001 0.13)67.37% (-0.129 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 40.27%
    West Bromwich Albion 32.8%
    Draw 26.92%
Derby CountyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.27%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 9.64% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.8%

How you voted: Derby vs West Brom

Derby County
45.8%
Draw
19.4%
West Bromwich Albion
34.7%
72
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Derby
1-0
West Brom
Sibley (15')

Fellows (59')
> Preview
Dec 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Derby
1-0
West Brom
Kazim-Richards (58')
Davies (18'), Thompson (20'), Stearman (51'), Cashin (90+5')

Clarke (36')
> Preview
Sep 14, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
West Brom
0-0
Derby
Livermore (45+1')
Buchanan (33')
> Match Report
Jul 8, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
West Brom
2-0
Derby
> Match Report
Aug 24, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Derby
1-1
West Brom
Waghorn (6' pen.)
Lawrence (90')
Zohore (84' pen.)
Ferguson (37')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds25157345162952
2Burnley25131023092149
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd25156434161849
4Sunderland25138438221647
5Middlesbrough25117742311140
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom25912431201139
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2411672822639
8Watford2411493434037
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2510693638-236
10Bristol City2581073230234
11Norwich CityNorwich258984136533
12Swansea CitySwansea2596102929033
13Millwall247892221129
14Coventry CityCoventry2578103335-229
15Preston North EndPreston2561182733-629
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Derby CountyDerby2576123134-327
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2476112739-1227
19Stoke CityStoke2568112432-826
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2358103040-1023
22Hull City2557132233-1122
23Cardiff CityCardiff2457122439-1522
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2447132453-2919
> Championship Full Table


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