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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park
West Brom logo

Derby
1 - 0
West Brom

Kazim-Richards (58')
Davies (18'), Thompson (20'), Stearman (51'), Cashin (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Clarke (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Derby County and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Derby County 1-2 West Bromwich Albion

Derby have proven to be a tough nut to crack on home turf so far and will fancy their chances of securing a positive result, albeit against more illustrious opponents, and while we expect them to put in a good shift, we are also backing West Brom to get the job done come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 52.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
21.49%26.36%52.16%
Both teams to score 44.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.23%58.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.71%79.29%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.17%42.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.85%79.15%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32%22.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67%56.33%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 21.49%
    West Bromwich Albion 52.15%
    Draw 26.36%
Derby CountyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 8.24%
2-1 @ 5.18%
2-0 @ 3.49%
3-1 @ 1.46%
3-2 @ 1.09%
3-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.49%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 14.41%
0-2 @ 10.69%
1-2 @ 9.07%
0-3 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 4.48%
0-4 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 52.15%

How you voted: Derby vs West Brom

Derby County
15.3%
Draw
19.4%
West Bromwich Albion
65.3%
124
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
West Brom
0-0
Derby
Livermore (45+1')
Buchanan (33')
Jul 8, 2020 5pm
Aug 24, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Derby
1-1
West Brom
Waghorn (6' pen.)
Lawrence (90')
Zohore (84' pen.)
Ferguson (37')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Oct 24, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 14
West Brom
1-4
Derby
Rodriguez (83')
Dawson (25')
Marriott (10'), Lawrence (15'), Wilson (51'), Malone (71')
Huddlestone (44'), Malone (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bengals
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland149322391430
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd149321871128
3Leeds UnitedLeeds147522291326
4Burnley146621761124
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom14572148622
6Millwall146441712522
7Watford147162222022
8Middlesbrough146351816221
9Swansea CitySwansea14545119219
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn145451616019
11Bristol City144731819-119
12Norwich CityNorwich144642320318
13Derby CountyDerby145361818018
14Stoke CityStoke145361718-118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds145361724-718
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd144551717017
17Coventry CityCoventry144371819-115
18Hull City143651518-315
19Luton TownLuton144371621-515
20Preston North EndPreston143651420-615
21Cardiff CityCardiff144371320-715
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth144371425-1115
23Queens Park RangersQPR141761223-1110
24Portsmouth141671327-149


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