MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 00:15:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Championship header 2

Championship
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Swansea logo

Derby
1 - 2
Swansea

Mendez-Laing (65' pen.)
Elder (34'), Nelson (88'), Thompson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Vipotnik (2'), Pereira Martins (14')
Peart-Harris (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Preston 1-1 Derby
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Championship

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 3-4 Leeds
Sunday, November 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 1-1 Swansea City

 Without the presence of loan striker Yates in attack, we are expecting Derby to struggle to break down a typically-resolute Swansea defence. The visitors have pushed promotion candidates Burnley and Leeds all the way in recent weeks and should be confident of earning a positive result at Pride Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawSwansea City
47.8% (-0.497 -0.5) 25.58% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 26.62% (0.439 0.44)
Both teams to score 51.51% (0.189 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17% (0.072000000000003 0.07)51.83% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41% (0.062000000000001 0.06)73.59% (-0.062000000000012 -0.06)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)21.69% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15% (-0.291 -0.29)54.84% (0.29 0.29)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.78% (0.399 0.4)34.22% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.08% (0.426 0.43)70.92% (-0.426 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 47.79%
    Swansea City 26.62%
    Draw 25.57%
Derby CountyDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.34% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 47.79%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.063 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.055 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 26.62%

How you voted: Derby vs Swansea

Derby County
60.6%
Draw
22.7%
Swansea City
16.7%
66
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Swansea
2-1
Derby
Piroe (8', 16')
Grimes (68'), Wolf (84')
Lawrence (22' pen.)
Morrison (81')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Derby
0-0
Swansea
Forsyth (45'), Willis (82'), Byrne (89')
> Preview
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Swansea
2-1
Derby
Whittaker (63'), Roberts (66')
Whittaker (62'), Lowe (67')
Lawrence (48')
Byrne (26')
> Match Report
Dec 16, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Derby
2-0
Swansea
Kazim-Richards (4'), Jozwiak (37')

Ayew (67')
> Match Report
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Swansea
2-3
Derby
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds24156344152951
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd24156333141949
3Burnley2413923092148
4Sunderland24128436211544
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2311572721638
6Middlesbrough24107741311037
7Watford2311483331237
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2481242819936
9Swansea CitySwansea249692925433
10Bristol City248973028233
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds249693236-433
12Norwich CityNorwich247984036430
13Millwall237882220229
14Preston North EndPreston2461172630-429
15Coventry CityCoventry2477103234-228
16Derby CountyDerby2476112930-127
17Queens Park RangersQPR2451182432-826
18Stoke CityStoke2467112432-825
19Luton TownLuton2474132641-1525
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2366112639-1324
21Hull City2457122232-1022
22Cardiff CityCardiff2356122338-1521
23Portsmouth2248102640-1420
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2346132251-2918
> Championship Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!