Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dundee United.