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Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Aberdeen logo

Kilmarnock
4 - 0
Aberdeen

Vassell (18'), Watson (59'), Cameron (87'), Anderson (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Heltne Nilsen (46'), Palaversa (62'), Rubezic (63'), J (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen

All competitions
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-3 Hibernian
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Aberdeen

 After an incredible start to the season, Aberdeen have now gone six matches without victory and are missing their first-team goalkeeper and top-scorer due to injury. Kilmarnock, meanwhile, are a long way from the type of form we saw last season, currently the second-lowest-scoring team in the top flight. This is a match that both sides will likely feel they can win, but given their current form and recent league records, we feel there will be nothing to split them at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawAberdeen
37.89% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 26.84% (-0.012 -0.01) 35.27% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 51.38% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (0.052 0.05)53.76% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (0.044 0.04)75.24% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)27.53% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.95% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)63.04% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (0.090000000000003 0.09)29.1% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (0.11199999999999 0.11)65.02% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 37.89%
    Aberdeen 35.27%
    Draw 26.83%
KilmarnockDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.89%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.01% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.27%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen

Kilmarnock
42.9%
Draw
35.7%
Aberdeen
21.4%
14
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> Preview
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> Preview
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> Preview
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Aberdeen
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Shinnie (45'), Hayes (65'), Gartenmann (82')
Watson (90+2')
McKenzie (86')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 10
Kilmarnock
2-0
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Vassell (45+5'), Watkins (64')
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Gartenmann (45+1'), Shinnie (45+3'), Sokler (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1916215274550
2RangersRangers19123434132139
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd209743021934
4Aberdeen2010463228434
5St Mirren2183102734-727
6Motherwell208392534-927
7Hibernian216782832-425
8Kilmarnock216692536-1124
9Dundee2064103036-622
10Ross County215792138-1722
11Hearts2155112431-720
12St Johnstone2143142341-1815
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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