Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | Aberdeen |
44.55% ( 1.17) | 24.67% ( -0.29) | 30.78% ( -0.88) |
Both teams to score 57.2% ( 0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.34% ( 0.93) | 45.66% ( -0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.02% ( 0.88) | 67.98% ( -0.88) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.42% ( 0.91) | 20.58% ( -0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.89% ( 1.42) | 53.11% ( -1.43) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.01% ( -0.12) | 27.99% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.37% ( -0.15) | 63.63% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | Aberdeen |
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 50 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 30 |
7 | St Mirren | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 30 |
8 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
9 | Hearts | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 27 |
10 | Ross County | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 26 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 25 |
12 | St Johnstone | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 18 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |