MX23RW : Wednesday, January 15 12:16:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Celtic logo
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Dundee United
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Motherwell logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Jan 2, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Dundee United

Dundee
1 - 2
Dundee Utd

Murray (61' pen.)
Graham (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sevelj (65'), Dalby (88')
Docherty (32'), Dalby (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 1-2 Dundee
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, December 29 at 5.15pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee 1-2 Dundee United

With the Scottish Premiership's third-best defensive record and second only to Celtic in terms of away points so far, Dundee United have a great chance to conquer their city rivals. Dundee have kept just one clean sheet all season, so they could succumb to derby defeat in their first fixture of 2025. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Dundee United in this match.

Result
DundeeDrawDundee United
35.85% (0.529 0.53) 24.31% (0.15 0.15) 39.84% (-0.678 -0.68)
Both teams to score 60.15% (-0.472 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48% (-0.648 -0.65)42.52% (0.65 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.08% (-0.649 -0.65)64.92% (0.652 0.65)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)23.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.54% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)57.46% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.58% (-0.60000000000001 -0.6)21.42% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.57% (-0.936 -0.94)54.43% (0.939 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 35.85%
    Dundee United 39.84%
    Draw 24.31%
DundeeDrawDundee United
2-1 @ 8.14% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.206 0.21)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.55% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 35.85%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.144 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.31%
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 7.74% (0.083 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 39.84%

How you voted: Dundee vs Dundee Utd

Dundee
22.2%
Draw
9.7%
Dundee United
68.1%
72
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 1
Dundee Utd
2-2
Dundee
Trapanovski (13'), Thomson (23')
Graham (78'), Gallagher (84')
Palmer-Houlden (18'), McCowan (79' pen.)
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Dundee Utd
2-2
Dundee
Clark (12'), Mulgrew (55')
Niskanen (35'), Watt (45+3'), Graham (58')
Mullen (59'), Adam (61')
Byrne (45+2'), Adam (45+3')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Dundee
0-0
Dundee Utd
Adam (61')
Sep 19, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 6
Dundee Utd
1-0
Dundee
Harkes (81')
Butcher (44'), Smith (64'), McMann (89'), Pawlett (90+2')

Ashcroft (21'), Byrne (77')
Apr 24, 2020 7.05pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic23193164115360
2RangersRangers22135441182344
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd2310763124737
4Aberdeen2210573230235
5Motherwell2394102837-931
6Hibernian237883436-229
7Dundee2376103741-427
8St Mirren2383122738-1127
9Kilmarnock2367102537-1225
10Ross County2367102342-1925
11Hearts2366112531-624
12St Johnstone2343162547-2215


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