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Europa League
Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 29, 2024 at 6pm UK
Boras Arena
Molde logo

Elfsborg
0 - 1
Molde


Ouma (15'), Zeneli (27'), Abdulai (27')
FT
(aet)
Berisha (62')
Stenevik (39'), Daehli (90'), Hagelskjaer (98'), Eriksen (100')
Elfsborg win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Elfsborg and Molde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elfsborg

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Elfsborg 3-1 Goteborg
Sunday, August 25 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Molde

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Molde 3-0 HamKam
Sunday, August 25 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We say: Elfsborg 2-1 Molde (Elfsborg win 3-1 on aggregate)

 If Elfsborg can replicate their strong performance from the first leg, it is difficult to see how Molde can overcome their deficit. It would not be surprising if the hosts took an early lead and controlled large portions of the game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for Molde had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%).

Result
ElfsborgDrawMolde
51.86% (1.618 1.62) 22.96% (-0.339 -0.34) 25.18% (-1.278 -1.28)
Both teams to score 58.69% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.27% (0.439 0.44)41.73% (-0.438 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.87% (0.442 0.44)64.13% (-0.441 -0.44)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.83% (0.744 0.74)16.17% (-0.744 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.37% (1.34 1.34)45.63% (-1.339 -1.34)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-0.751 -0.75)29.99% (0.752 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.914 -0.91)66.11% (0.914 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 51.86%
    Molde 25.18%
    Draw 22.96%
ElfsborgDrawMolde
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.05% (0.241 0.24)
3-1 @ 5.89% (0.2 0.2)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.263 0.26)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.155 0.16)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.172 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.061 0.06)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 51.86%
1-1 @ 10.64% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.96%
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.236 -0.24)
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-2 @ 3.52% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 25.18%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Molde

Elfsborg
78.8%
Draw
11.1%
Molde
10.1%
99
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2024 6pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Molde
0-1
Elfsborg

Fjortoft Lovik (26'), Lund Jensen (63'), Haugan (84')
Qasem (15')
Qasem (43'), Pettersson (89')
> Preview
Jul 28, 2022 5.45pm
Second Qualifying Round 2nd Leg
Elfsborg
1-2
Molde
Baidoo (40')
Jarjue (7')
Breivik (54'), Fofana (83')
Haugan (24')
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Molde
4-1
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Andre Kaasa (49'), Haugen (55'), Breivik (60'), Mannsverk (81' pen.)
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