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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Equatorial Guinea national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2024 at 4pm UK
Nuevo Estadio de Malabo
Togo national football team

Eq Guinea
2 - 2
Togo

Nlavo (17'), Buyla (75')
Nlavo (28')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Aholou (45'), Fo-Doh Laba (90+5')
Amenyido (24'), Klidje (82'), Fo-Doh Laba (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Equatorial Guinea and Togo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 2-0 Eq Guinea
Thursday, September 5 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Togo

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Togo 1-1 Liberia
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Togo

 Equatorial Guinea have won only one of their last four matches across all competitions, highlighting their ongoing struggles since the AFCON. Given Togo's historical dominance in this fixture and their previous away win against the hosts, we believe they are capable of securing a draw in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 1-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 (11.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Equatorial GuineaDrawTogo
30.18% (0.381 0.38) 29.68% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 40.13% (-0.302 -0.3)
Both teams to score 42.15% (0.344 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.3% (0.352 0.35)64.7% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.31% (0.244 0.24)83.68% (-0.252 -0.25)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.61% (0.498 0.5)38.38% (-0.505 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.86% (0.475 0.48)75.13% (-0.482 -0.48)
Togo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (0.0019999999999953 0)31.59% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32% (0.0039999999999978 0)68% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Equatorial Guinea 30.18%
    Togo 40.13%
    Draw 29.67%
Equatorial GuineaDrawTogo
1-0 @ 11.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.41% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.56% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.05% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.78% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.18% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 30.18%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 12.12% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 3.69% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.67%
0-1 @ 13.97% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 8.05% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 40.13%

How you voted: Eq Guinea vs Togo

Equatorial Guinea
53.8%
Draw
30.8%
Togo
15.4%
39
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2022 3pm
International Friendly
Eq Guinea
2-2
Togo
Bikoro (54' pen., 84')
Henen (17'), Fo-Doh Laba (29')
Oct 13, 2019 2pm
International Friendlies
Eq Guinea
1-1
Togo
rhs 2.0
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