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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Estrela Amadora

Estoril
1 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Fernandes (57')
Marques (38'), Marques (71'), Ndiaye (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sa (85'), Bucca (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Estoril
Wednesday, January 31 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-4 Benfica
Monday, January 29 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Estrela Amadora

 Given the stakes of the game, we anticipate a thrilling contest between the two sides who will be looking to avoid falling into the relegation dogfight. While they are evenly matched on paper, home advantage gives Estoril a slight edge and we fancy the them to claim all three points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 50.91%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawEstrela Amadora
50.91% (-0.105 -0.1) 23.28% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 25.81% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 58.23% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (-0.118 -0.12)42.62% (0.122 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (-0.11900000000001 -0.12)65.03% (0.122 0.12)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)16.84% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.17% (-0.146 -0.15)46.83% (0.15 0.15)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)29.98% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.91% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)66.09% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 50.91%
    Estrela Amadora 25.81%
    Draw 23.28%
Estoril PraiaDrawEstrela Amadora
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 8.99% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 50.91%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.08% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 25.81%

How you voted: Estoril vs Estrela Amadora

Estoril Praia
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Estrela Amadora
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 3
Estrela Amadora
2-1
Estoril
Tavares (47'), Cordeiro (90+10')
Pereira Martins (87')
Marques (67')
Holsgrove (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
14AVS172961324-1115
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
17Nacional163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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