Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Arouca |
38.24% ( 0.07) | 25.24% ( -0.01) | 36.52% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 56.87% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.21% ( 0.03) | 46.8% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.95% ( 0.03) | 69.06% ( -0.03) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% ( 0.05) | 24.12% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.58% ( 0.08) | 58.42% ( -0.07) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% ( -0.02) | 25.05% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.27% ( -0.03) | 59.73% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.24% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.94% 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 36.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |