MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 20:02:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 15, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Estrela Amadora

Farense
0 - 0
Estrela Amadora


Oliveira (8'), Isidoro (81')
FT

Jaba (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Farense
Friday, December 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 3-1 Boavista
Sunday, December 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 1-1 Estrela Amadora

Both these sides have made positive starts to life back in the top flight and would have had this fixture circled as one in which they could earn all three points. This is arguably one of the most even contests in the Primeira Liga this weekend, and we feel there will be nothing to separate these sides at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawEstrela Amadora
42.21% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 25.53% (0.012 0.01) 32.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.96% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)48.86% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (-0.041 -0.04)70.96% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)23.02% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)56.83% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)28.6% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)64.41% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 42.21%
    Estrela Amadora 32.25%
    Draw 25.53%
SC FarenseDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 42.21%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.25%

How you voted: Farense vs Estrela Amadora

SC Farense
38.5%
Draw
23.1%
Estrela Amadora
38.5%
13
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
9MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
10Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
11Gil Vicente195772228-622
12FamalicaoFamalicao194962024-421
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15AVS193971527-1218
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1926111332-1912


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