MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 13:21:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
PSV

Utrecht
2 - 5
PSV

Descotte (34' pen.), Horemans (88')
Aaronson (14'), Rodriguez (24')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Saibari (12', 70'), Til (54', 90+1'), Bakayoko (74')
Saibari (7'), Til (31'), Flamingo (57'), Boscagli (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-2 Utrecht
Sunday, November 24 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 3-2 Shakhtar
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: FC Utrecht 1-2 PSV Eindhoven

While Utrecht have been excellent this season and managed to hold this opponent to a 1-1 draw at this venue last term, PSV's firepower is hard to overlook, and we feel they will be able to widen the gap between themselves and the chasing pack with a victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.65%) and 0-1 (6.6%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawPSV Eindhoven
26.69% (-1.614 -1.61) 21.55% (-0.491 -0.49) 51.76% (2.102 2.1)
Both teams to score 65.37% (0.39 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.39% (1.104 1.1)33.6% (-1.106 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.58% (1.249 1.25)55.41% (-1.25 -1.25)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (-0.483 -0.48)24.58% (0.48 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (-0.681 -0.68)59.07% (0.68 0.68)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68% (1.064 1.06)13.32% (-1.065 -1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.83% (2.107 2.11)40.16% (-2.108 -2.11)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 26.69%
    PSV Eindhoven 51.76%
    Draw 21.55%
FC UtrechtDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 6.5% (-0.308 -0.31)
1-0 @ 4.59% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-0 @ 3.22% (-0.286 -0.29)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.51% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 26.69%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.303 -0.3)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-3 @ 2.06% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.55%
1-2 @ 9.34% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.137 0.14)
0-1 @ 6.6% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 6.27% (0.28 0.28)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.259 0.26)
2-3 @ 4.4% (0.137 0.14)
1-4 @ 3.16% (0.256 0.26)
0-4 @ 2.25% (0.211 0.21)
2-4 @ 2.22% (0.151 0.15)
1-5 @ 1.28% (0.148 0.15)
3-4 @ 1.04% (0.057 0.06)
0-5 @ 0.91% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 51.76%

How you voted: Utrecht vs PSV

FC Utrecht
6.7%
Draw
26.7%
PSV Eindhoven
66.7%
30
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 18
Utrecht
1-1
PSV
Boussaid (53')
Toornstra (27'), Fraulo (89')
Bakayoko (7')
de Jong (54')
Aug 12, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 1
PSV
2-0
Utrecht
Lang (45+3'), Vertessen (77')
Ramalho (48'), Teze (55')
Feb 19, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 22
Utrecht
2-2
PSV
Boussaid (33'), Van de Streek (60')
Bakayoko (41'), De Jong (57')
Oct 16, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
PSV
6-1
Utrecht
Simons (8', 60'), Til (33', 38'), El Ghazi (86', 89')
Mar 13, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 23
Utrecht
0-1
PSV

Warmerdam (20'), Maher (88')
Zahavi (53')
Teze (86'), Junior (90+1'), Vinicius (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
3Feyenoord16105140182235
4Ajax15103232161633
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen155192119216
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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