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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
38.76% ( 0.4) | 24.72% ( 0.09) | 36.52% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 58.76% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.64% ( -0.48) | 44.35% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.27% ( -0.47) | 66.73% ( 0.46) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.24% ( -0.01) | 22.75% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.56% ( -0.01) | 56.44% ( 0.01) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% ( -0.49) | 23.93% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.85% ( -0.7) | 58.15% ( 0.7) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.76% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |