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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 3-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
65.55% ( 0.17) | 18.4% ( 0.13) | 16.05% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 59.99% ( -1.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.82% ( -1.31) | 33.17% ( 1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.07% ( -1.52) | 54.92% ( 1.52) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.5% ( -0.32) | 9.49% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.15% ( -0.76) | 31.85% ( 0.76) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.29% ( -1.19) | 33.71% ( 1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.63% ( -1.32) | 70.36% ( 1.31) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.93% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.7% Total : 65.55% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.4% | 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.71% Total : 16.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 65 | 20 | 45 | 49 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 41 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 21 |
15 | Heracles | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 20 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |